Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.001142 0.001201 0.001261 0.001327 0.001397 0.001470 0.001552
2025-07-27 0.001058 0.001143 0.001234 0.001337 0.001452 0.001576 0.001721
2025-08-03 0.001001 0.001106 0.001220 0.001353 0.001507 0.001679 0.001886
2025-08-10 0.000947 0.001064 0.001194 0.001352 0.001537 0.001750 0.002015
2025-08-17 0.000886 0.001009 0.001150 0.001322 0.001530 0.001774 0.002087
2025-08-24 0.000840 0.000969 0.001118 0.001304 0.001533 0.001808 0.002168
2025-08-31 0.000810 0.000945 0.001103 0.001304 0.001556 0.001866 0.002280
2025-09-07 0.000775 0.000913 0.001078 0.001289 0.001559 0.001896 0.002357
2025-09-14 0.000746 0.000887 0.001057 0.001278 0.001565 0.001930 0.002438
2025-09-21 0.000719 0.000862 0.001036 0.001266 0.001568 0.001958 0.002512
2025-09-28 0.000691 0.000835 0.001012 0.001248 0.001563 0.001975 0.002570
2025-10-05 0.000662 0.000805 0.000983 0.001222 0.001545 0.001973 0.002601
2025-10-12 0.000646 0.000792 0.000975 0.001227 0.001570 0.002034 0.002729
2025-10-19 0.000631 0.000781 0.000971 0.001234 0.001600 0.002103 0.002874
2025-10-26 0.000620 0.000774 0.000971 0.001248 0.001639 0.002187 0.003045
2025-11-02 0.000604 0.000759 0.000960 0.001247 0.001656 0.002238 0.003169
2025-11-09 0.000579 0.000732 0.000932 0.001220 0.001635 0.002234 0.003206
2025-11-16 0.000560 0.000712 0.000913 0.001203 0.001629 0.002250 0.003276
2025-11-23 0.000548 0.000701 0.000905 0.001204 0.001646 0.002303 0.003406
2025-11-30 0.000532 0.000684 0.000888 0.001191 0.001643 0.002322 0.003483
2025-12-07 0.000518 0.000669 0.000874 0.001181 0.001643 0.002348 0.003572
2025-12-14 0.000504 0.000655 0.000860 0.001169 0.001641 0.002369 0.003653
2025-12-21 0.000489 0.000638 0.000843 0.001154 0.001632 0.002378 0.003713